CO2 mitigation in Thailand's Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions (NAMAs): Policy analyses of power generation

摘要

This paper presents the potential of renewable power generation in Thailand for CO2 mitigation under the framework of Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions (NAMAs). This study employed AIM/Enduse model of the National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES) Japan for analyses of CO2 mitigation in the power sector. Results show that in the business-as-usual scenario CO2 emissions in the power sector will be 141.51 kt-CO2 in 2020. When the renewable energy sources under Thailand's renewable energy development plan and low-carbon options were pushed into NAMAs, CO2 emissions in 2020 will be decreased by 27.41 kt-CO2, and reduction will be 17.20 kt-CO2 with renewable power generation by adders. When both policy measures of adders and low-carbon options are considered, CO2 emissions will decrease to 98.17 kt-CO2. Thus, this CO2 mitigation of 30.6% in 2020 in power generation needs strong efforts from Thai government and international supports to achieve climate change mitigation under NAMAs mechanism.