METHOD FOR EVALUATING TECHNOLOGY BY DYNAMIC DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW

摘要

The present invention relates to a method for evaluating a technology using a dynamic discounted cash flow technique which is performed by an information processing device to evaluate a target technology to obtain a technological value of the technology. The method for evaluating a technology using a dynamic discounted cash flow technique comprises: (a) a step of receiving basic information about the target technology; (b) a step of estimating an economic life of the target technology by applying an interpolation method to a cited patent life-time (CLT) index of the target technology according to a life influence factor evaluation score; (c) a step of calculating a discount rate of the target technology by calculating an weighted average of a cost of equity capital and a cost of debt capital; (d) a step of estimating a technology contribution level of the target technology by multiplying an industry technology factor and an individual technology strength; (e) a step of determining a plurality of scenarios according to a commercialization step by the target technology and uncertainty factors, and a probability of an occurrence of each scenario; (f) a step of estimating a future cash flow for each scenario during the estimated economic life of the target technology; (g) a step of calculating a dynamic discounted cash flow at the time of evaluation by regression calculation from a cash flow of an estimated final year by considering the probability and uncertainty level of each scenario; and (h) a step of calculating the technological value of the target technology by multiplying the dynamic discounted cash flow and the technology contribution level.