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Method and apparatus for prediction based on multi-source heterogeneous data

机译:基于多源异构数据的预测方法和装置

摘要

The embodiments of the present invention provide a method and apparatus for predicting based on multi-source heterogeneous data. The method comprises: acquiring, with regard to an event of a set type, at least two types of historical data which can reflect an event resu establishing a joint likelihood model of attribute data of the event of the set type and the at least two types of historical data, and detennining an optimal estimation of the attribute data according to a maximum posterior principle; and determining, with regard to an event to be predicted which is of the set type, based on a probability distribution associated with the attribute data in the joint likelihood model, a parameter in the probability distribution as a prediction result of the event to be predicted. The embodiments of the present invention use a hierarchical model to introduce data of different sources into different data layers, unify heterogeneous data in a joint likelihood model to perform analysis, and obtain a more accurate, instant and stable prediction result through effective fusion.
机译:本发明实施例提供了一种基于多源异构数据进行预测的方法和装置。该方法包括:关于集合类型的事件,获取可以反映事件结果的至少两种历史数据;以及建立集合类型事件的属性数据与至少两种历史数据的联合似然模型,并根据最大后验原理确定属性数据的最优估计;根据与联合似然模型中的属性数据相关联的概率分布,针对设置类型的待预测事件,确定该概率分布中的参数作为待预测事件的预测结果。本发明实施例采用分层模型,将不同源的数据引入不同的数据层,在联合似然模型中统一异构数据进行分析,通过有效的融合获得更准确,即时,稳定的预测结果。

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