SLIM-MAUD (Success Likelihood Index Methodology-Multi-Attribute Utility Decomposition): An Approach to Assessing Human Error Probabilities Using Structured Expert Judgment. Volume 1. Overview of SLIM-MAUD.

摘要

This two-volume report presents the procedures and analyses performed in developing an approach for structuring expert judgments to estimate human error probabilities. Volume I presents an overview of work performed in developing the approach: SLIM-MAUD (Success Likelihood Index Methodology, implemented through the use of an interactive computer program called MAUD--Multi-Attribute Utility Decomposition). Volume II provides a more detailed analysis of the technical issues underlying the approach.