Fast Interactive Integrated Modeling and Strategy Design (FASTIMS) - The Dynamic Pathways Agent-Based Model; Final technical rept. Jul 2007-Feb 2008

摘要

This report documents an Icosystem contract that was awarded under the IARPA Proactive Intelligence (PAINT) program to develop the capability to rapidly generate simulation models. This work was to address a need in the Intelligence Community to predict unanticipated consequences that emerge from complex situations. Fast Interactive Modeling and Strategy Design (FASTIMS) was the proposed integrated framework for this rapid development of simulation models. Using FASTIMS, an analyst would have been able to create a model, perform validation and calibration interactively (either alone or in a group setting), discover key indicators, quantify uncertainty, and identify data needs and design and test strategies. Due to budget constraints, this effort was terminated at an early stage so the final result was not realized. This report details the preparations for the work and the steps that were taken during the short duration of the contract.