A Computer Simulation Model for Flood Plain Development. Part I. Land Use Planning and Benefit Evaluation

摘要

The publication presents analytical progress in the development of a computer simulation model for flood plain development. A conceptual model was developed for five major parts: forecasting population and economic activities; allocating activities to available land; integrating public policies restricting land use; measuring and projecting flood damages; and evaluating benefits based on appropriate formulas involving flood damages, land rents, and locational advantages. Several concepts are introduced to solve problems associated with development of the simulation model.