A Dual-Attention-Mechanism Multi-Channel Convolutional LSTM for Short-Term Wind Speed Prediction

摘要

Accurate wind speed prediction plays a crucial role in wind power generation and disaster avoidance. However, stochasticity and instability increase the difficulty of wind speed prediction. In this study, we proposed a dual-attention mechanism multi-channel convolutional LSTM (DACLSTM), collected European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Reanalysis v5 (ERA5) near-ground element-grid data from some parts of North China, and selected elements with high correlations with wind speed to form multiple channels. We used a convolutional network for the feature extraction of spatial information, a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network for the feature extraction of time-series information, and used channel attention with spatial attention for feature extraction. The experimental results show that the DACLSTM model can improve the accuracy of six-hour lead time wind speed prediction relative to the traditional ConvLSTM model and fully connected network long short-term memory (FC_LSTM).