Learning Decomposed Representations for Treatment Effect Estimation

摘要

In observational studies, confounder separation and balancing are the fundamental problems of treatment effect estimation. Most of the previous methods focused on addressing the problem of confounder balancing by treating all observed pre-treatment variables as confounders, ignoring confounder separation. In general, not all the observed pre-treatment variables are confounders that refer to the common causes of the treatment and the outcome, some variables only contribute to the treatment (i.e., instrumental variables) and some only contribute to the outcome (i.e., adjustment variables). Balancing those non-confounders, including instrumental variables and adjustment variables, would generate additional bias for treatment effect estimation. By modeling the different causal relations among observed pre-treatment variables, treatment variables and outcome variables, we propose a synergistic learning framework to i) separate confounders by learning decomposed representations of both confounders and non-confounders, ii) balance confounder with sample re-weighting technique, and simultaneously iii) estimate the treatment effect in observational studies via counterfactual inference. Empirical results on synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate that the proposed method can precisely decompose confounders and achieve a more precise estimation of treatment effect than baselines.