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The Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate of the Czech Koruna

机译:捷克克朗的行为均衡汇率

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摘要

The behavioral equilibrium exchange rate (BEER) model of the Czech koruna is derived in this paper and estimated by three methods suitable for nonsta-tionary time series. The considered potential determinants of the real equilibrium exchange rate are the productivity differential, the interest rate differential, the terms of trade, net foreign direct investment, net foreign assets, government consumption, and the degree of openness. We find that the Czech koruna was on average undervalued over the period from 1994 to 2004 by about 7 percent with respect to the estimated BEER. The significant determinants of the equilibrium exchange rate of the Czech koruna appear to be the productivity differential, the real interest rate differential, the terms of trade, and the net foreign direct investment.
机译:本文推导了捷克克朗的行为均衡汇率模型,并通过三种适用于非静态时间序列的方法进行了估计。认为实际均衡汇率的潜在决定因素是生产率差异,利率差异,贸易条件,净外国直接投资,净外国资产,政府消费和开放程度。我们发现,在1994年至2004年期间,相对于估算的BEER,捷克克朗平均被低估了大约7%。捷克克朗的均衡汇率的重要决定因素似乎是生产率差异,实际利率差异,贸易条件和净外国直接投资。

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