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A Study of the jackknife method in the estimation of the extremal index

机译:折刀法估算极值指标的研究

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摘要

Clustering of high values occurs in many real situations and affects inference on extremal events. For stationary dependent sequences, under general local and asymptotic dependence conditions, the degree of clustering is measured through a parameter called the extremal index. The estimation of extreme events or parameters is usually based on a k number of top order statistics or on the exceedances of a high threshold u and is very sensitive to either of these choices. In particular, the bias increases with a growing k and a decreasing u. The use of the Jackknife methodology may help reduce bias. We analyse this method through a simulation study applied to several estimators of the extremal index. An application to real data sets illustrates the results.
机译:高价值的聚类发生在许多实际情况中,并影响对极端事件的推断。对于平稳的依存序列,在一般的局部和渐近依存条件下,聚类程度通过称为极值索引的参数进行测量。极端事件或参数的估计通常基于k个顶级统计量或基于高阈值u的超出,并且对这些选择中的任何一个都非常敏感。尤其是,偏差随着k的增大和u的减小而增大。使用折刀方法可能有助于减少偏见。我们通过将模拟研究应用于极端指数的多个估计量来分析此方法。实际数据集的应用说明了结果。

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