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A Generalization of the Partition Problem

机译:分区问题的推广

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The problem of partitioning with respect to a control or a standard is an important statistical problem in the area of selection and ranking. In the last 60+ years a number of formulations have been proposed for this problem utilizing the two-stage sampling strategy of Stein (1945) and other multistage sampling strategies. One such formulation, which had generalized many other formulations, was proposed in Tong (1969) for the normally distributed populations. Since then the formulation in Tong (1969) has been used by a multitude of researchers and practitioners. The indifference zone in Tong's (1969) formulation is a region in which the experimenter is indifferent to differentiate any treatment mean from the control treatment mean. However, this indifference zone also serves the additional role of defining the boundaries for bad and good treatments compared to the control treatment. Though the formulation in Tong (1969) is straightforward and easy to implement, this additional role that the indifference zone plays could make the formulation somewhat undesirable to the practitioner. To illustrate, assume that in a clinical trial a drug with less than 10% improvement over the placebo is considered as a drug with insignificant improvement and the drug is termed a bad treatment and a drug with more than 30% improvement over the placebo is considered a drug with significant improvement and the drug is termed a good treatment. In such a scenario, Tong's formulation would define the indifference zone to be between 10% and 30% improvement over placebo, and any treatment with an effect size of between 10% and 30% improvement can be partitioned either a good treatment or a bad treatment without any penalty. Such a wide indifference zone makes the partition obtained to be rather misleading as the treatments termed good treatment or bad treatment could include treatments with effect size between 10% and 30%. One could potentially reduce the size of the indifference zone in Tong's formulation, but this would then alter the definition of the bad and good treatments, which are generally provided by the experts in the area. In this article, a generalization of Tong's formulation is proposed that will partition the treatments in the indifference zone as a separate identifiable group without altering the definition of the good and bad treatments. It is shown that the formulation in Tong (1969) is a limiting case of the generalized partition formulation proposed in this article. A fixed sample procedure is constructed for the case when the common population variance is known. In addition, a purely sequential procedure is proposed for the unknown variance case. The first-order and second-order asymptotic properties are derived and verified using Monte Carlo simulation studies. An example is provided to illustrate an application of the proposed generalization.
机译:关于控件或标准的分区问题是选择和排序领域中的重要统计问题。在过去的60多年中,利用Stein(1945)的两阶段采样策略和其他多阶段采样策略,针对此问题提出了许多公式。在Tong(1969)中,针对正态分布的人群提出了一种这样的公式,该公式概括了许多其他公式。从那时起,Tong(1969)中的提法被许多研究人员和从业人员使用。 Tong(1969)公式中的无差异区域是一个区域,在该区域中,实验者无视区分任何处理平均值和对照处理平均值。但是,与对照治疗相比,该无差异区域还具有为不良治疗和良性治疗定义界限的额外作用。尽管Tong(1969)中的公式很简单且易于实施,但是冷漠区所扮演的这一额外角色可能会使该公式对于从业人员来说是不希望的。为了说明这一点,假设在临床试验中,与安慰剂相比改善少于10%的药物被视为改善不明显的药物,并且该药物被称为不良治疗,而与安慰剂相比改善超过30%的药物被视为具有显着改善的药物,并且该药物被称为良药。在这种情况下,Tong的公式将无差异区定义为比安慰剂改善10%到30%之间,并且效果大小在10%到30%之间的任何治疗都可以分为好治疗或差治疗没有任何罚款。如此宽泛的无差异区域使获得的分区具有相当大的误导性,因为称为良好治疗或不良治疗的治疗可能包括效应大小在10%至30%之间的治疗。可以潜在地减小Tong的公式中无差异区域的大小,但是这将改变坏和好处理的定义,通常由该领域的专家提供。在本文中,提出了Tong公式的一般化方法,该方法将在无差异区域中将处理划分为一个单独的可识别组,而不会更改好处理和坏处理的定义。结果表明,Tong(1969)中的公式是本文提出的广义分区公式的极限情况。当已知总体总体方差时,将构建固定的样本程序。此外,针对未知方差情况,提出了一种纯顺序过程。一阶和二阶渐近性质是使用蒙特卡罗模拟研究得出和验证的。提供一个示例来说明所提出的概括的应用。

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