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A Comparison Study of Two Numerical Tsunami Forecasting Systems

机译:两种海啸数值预报系统的比较研究

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This paper presents a comparison of two tsunami forecasting systems: the NOAA/PMEL system (SIFT) and the Australian Bureau of Meteorology system (T1). Both of these systems are based on a tsunami scenario database and both use the same numerical model. However, there are some major differences in the way in which the scenarios are constructed and in the implementation of the systems. Two tsunami events are considered here: Tonga 2006 and Sumatra 2007. The results show that there are some differences in the distribution of maximum wave amplitude, particularly for the Tonga event, however both systems compare well to the available tsunameter observations. To assess differences in the forecasts for coastal amplitude predictions, the offshore forecast results from both systems were used as boundary conditions for a high-resolution model for Hilo, Hawaii. The minor differences seen between the two systems in deep water become considerably smaller at the tide gauge and both systems compare very well with the observations.
机译:本文介绍了两种海啸预报系统的比较:NOAA / PMEL系统(SIFT)和澳大利亚气象局系统(T1)。这两个系统都基于海啸情景数据库,并且都使用相同的数值模型。但是,场景的构造方式和系统的实现方式存在一些主要差异。这里考虑了两个海啸事件:汤加2006年和苏门答腊岛2007年。结果表明,最大波振幅的分布存在一些差异,特别是对于汤加事件,但是这两个系统都与可用的tsunameter观测值比较。为了评估海岸振幅预测的预测差异,将这两个系统的海上预测结果用作夏威夷希洛高分辨率模型的边界条件。深水处的两个系统之间看到的细微差别在潮汐计处变得相当小,并且两个系统与观测值相比非常好。

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