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The Indus flood of 2010 in Pakistan: a perspective analysis using remote sensing data

机译:巴基斯坦2010年印度河洪水:使用遥感数据的透视分析

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The Indus flood in 2010 was one of the greatest river disasters in recent history, which affected more than 14 million people in Pakistan. Although excessive rainfall between July and September 2010 has been cited as the major causative factor for this disaster, the human interventions in the river system over the years made this disaster a catastrophe. Geomorphic analysis suggests that the Indus River has had a very dynamic regime in the past. However, the river has now been constrained by embankments on both sides, and several barrages have been constructed along the river. As a result, the river has been aggrading rapidly during the last few decades due to its exceptionally high sediment load particularly in reaches upstream of the barrages. This in turn has caused significant increase in cross-valley gradient leading to breaches upstream of the barrages and inundation of large areas. Our flow accumulation analysis using SRTM data not only supports this interpretation but also points out that there are several reaches along the Indus River, which are still vulnerable to such breaches and flooding. Even though the Indus flood in 2010 was characterized by exceptionally high discharges, our experience in working on Himalayan rivers and similar recent events in rivers in Nepal and India suggest that such events can occur at relatively low discharges. It is therefore of utmost importance to identify such areas and plan mitigation measures as soon as possible. We emphasize the role of geomorphology in flood analysis and management and urge the river managers to take urgent steps to incorporate the geomorphic understanding of Himalayan rivers in river management plans.
机译:2010年的印度河洪水是最近历史上最大的河流灾害之一,影响了巴基斯坦超过1400万人。尽管已将2010年7月至2010年9月之间的过多降雨视为造成这场灾难的主要诱因,但多年来人们对河流系统的干预使这场灾难成为一场灾难。地貌分析表明,印度河在过去具有非常活跃的状态。但是,这条河现在已经被两侧的堤坝所限制,并且沿着这条河已经修建了几道堰坝。结果,在过去的几十年中,由于其异常高的泥沙负荷,特别是在堰坝上游,这条河一直在迅速地积水。反过来,这也导致跨谷坡梯度的显着增加,导致堰坝上游冲破和大面积淹没。我们使用SRTM数据进行的流量累积分析不仅支持这种解释,而且还指出,印度河沿岸有多个河段,仍然容易受到此类突破和洪水的影响。尽管2010年印度河洪水的流量异常高,但我们在喜马拉雅河流域以及尼泊尔和印度河流近期类似事件中的工作经验表明,此类事件可能在相对较低的流量下发生。因此,最重要的是尽快确定这些区域并计划缓解措施。我们强调地貌学在洪水分析和管理中的作用,并敦促河流管理者采取紧急措施,将喜马拉雅河流域的地貌认识纳入河流管理计划。

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