The Verification of the Resonance Prediction Method for Great Earthquake Motion and its Prediction

摘要

More than 200 great (strong) earthquakes are examined in this thesis on the basis of the method for prediction of movement resonance of great earthquakes; and through the table of about 20 disastrous or representative earthquakes among them, it is proved that there is still room for breakthrough in the prediction of great (strong) earthquakes. At the end of 1996, I predicted that there would be a great earthquake with magnitude between 7.5 and 8.4 and a series of great earthquakes in Japan Trench in the following 1 or 2 years, and later this prediction was realized. Further study on this method resulted in the formula of epicenter prediction. Recently I also worked out that we can reduce the time of great earthquake prediction and epicenter prediction throughout the study of the early earhtquqaes with magnitude of M>=4.