The lean times in the Peruvian economy

摘要

The growth rate of "nonprimary gross domestic product (GDP)" (Peru's urban economy) dropped to 3.6 percent in 2014 and to 2.4 percent in 2015, far below the annual average of 7.3 percent recorded over the previous decade; moreover, an equally low growth rate of 2.8 percent per year is projected in 2016. In the macroeconomic history of Peru, the times of plenty that is, the more or less prolonged booms-are also times of high prices of the commodities that the country exports; meanwhile, the lean times-that is, the more or less intense recessions in which economic activity slows down-are times of low commodity prices. This article describes the negative external shock undergone by the Peruvian economy and its recessionary and inflationary effects over 2014-15, analyzes the fiscal and monetary policies applied in response to the external shock, and outlines the macroeconomic challenges faced by the new government of Pedro Pablo Kuczynski.