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Asia's Meltdown: It Ain't Over Yet

机译:亚洲的崩溃:还没有结束

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摘要

Just when it seemed things couldn't get much worse in Asia, they did. This time the culprit was the Japanese yen, which in mid-June fell to an eight-year low against the dollar. The fear now is that a cheapening yen will trigger another savage round of currency devaluations in the region, which would weaken already fragile economies and send markets reeling once again. And it's not just Asians who are worried. The continent's huge and seemingly unarrestable deflationary tail-spin—recently described by a high World Bank official as "a depression"—threatens to drag American and European markets and economies down with it. This is why on June 17, just over a week before President Clinton was due to leave for a ten-day visit to China, the United States and Japan staged a commando-like early morning raid on the currency markets. The surprise intervention had the desired immediate effect, sending the yen as high as 134 (up more than 8% in just two days) before it began to drift slowly back.
机译:就在亚洲看来事情不会变得更糟时,他们做到了。这次的罪魁祸首是日元,日元兑美元汇率在6月中旬跌至8年低点。现在人们担心的是,日元贬值将触发该地区另一轮猛烈的货币贬值,这将削弱本已脆弱的经济体并使市场再次陷入困境。担心的不仅是亚洲人。非洲大陆巨大且看似无法阻止的通货紧缩尾旋现象(最近被世界银行高级官员描述为“萧条”)加剧了欧美市场和经济的下滑。这就是为什么在6月17日,就在克林顿总统将对中国进行为期10天的访问前一周,美国和日本对货币市场进行了突击队式的突袭。出人意料的干预措施立即产生了预期的效果,使日元汇率一度高达134(在短短两天内上涨了8%),然后才开始缓慢回落。

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