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Burden-sharing and climate change policy beyond Kyoto: implications for developing countries

机译:京都议定书以外的负担分担和气候变化政策:对发展中国家的影响

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Bert Bolin has written an excellent summary of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Second Assessment Report and provided Valuable insight to its broader implications. My comments will be confined Mainly to three of the policy-related points in his paper: 1. Because impacts cannot yet be estimated very well, traditional Cost-benefit analyses are hardly possible at this stage because of the Need to assess future damages reasonably well. 2. Cost estimates are, however, important for the choice of strategies and to reach agreements on how to share the burdens within countries, between countries and between generations (author's emphasis). 3. Social and political values, to the least concerning equity, come into play as has so clearly been seen in the past. This will certainly also be the case in the future.
机译:伯特·波林(Bert Bolin)为政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)的第二份评估报告撰写了精彩的总结,并对其更广泛的含义提供了宝贵的见解。我的评论将主要限于他的论文中与政策有关的三个方面:1.由于尚无法很好地估算影响,因此在现阶段几乎不可能进行传统的成本效益分析,因为需要合理地评估未来的损失。 2.然而,成本估算对于选择战略并就如何在国家内部,国家之间以及世代之间分担负担达成协议很重要(作者强调)。 3.社会和政治价值,至少涉及平等的价值,在过去已经很明显地发挥了作用。将来肯定也会如此。

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