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Project evaluation and selection

机译:项目评估与选择

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We consider the problem of evaluating several proposals and selecting one or more which in some sense “best” meet certain objectives. For example, the executive may wish to select from among a set of available projects a combination which will meet certain objectives relative to sales, sales staff, profitability, and capital investment over some particular period of time. Generally, multiple objectives are in conflict. For example, sales can probably be increased by increasing sales staff, but this affects profitability and capital investment. Thus, the problem is one of “trade-offs” which is not difficult if there are only a few choices. However, if there are many choices available and numerous objectives, simple “enumerative” approaches to the problem cease to be of utility, since the number of possible combinations becomes astronomical in size.
机译:我们考虑评估几个提案并选择一个或多个在某种意义上“最佳”满足某些目标的问题。例如,执行人员可能希望从一组可用的项目中选择一种组合,该组合将在某个特定时间段内满足与销售,销售人员,盈利能力和资本投资相关的某些目标。通常,多个目标是冲突的。例如,可以通过增加销售人员来增加销售额,但这会影响获利能力和资本投资。因此,问题是“权衡”之一,如果只有少数选择,这并不困难。但是,如果有很多选择可用并且目标很多,那么简单的“枚举”方法将不再有用,因为可能的组合数量在规模上是天文数字。

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    《IBM Systems Journal》 |1963年第3期|P.200-217|共18页
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