Assessment of the predictability of climate anomalies in connection with El Nio phenomena

摘要

Using long-term observational data on the temperature, precipitation, and drought and moisture indices in European and Asian regions of Russia in May-July, the degree of predictability of climate anomalies in Russian regions in connection with different types of El Nio/La Nia phenomena is estimated with assessment of the probability of different regional climate anomalies under different phase transitions for the El Nio phenomena, which are characterized by various indices, including those observed in 2015.