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Sampling weights in multilevel modelling: an investigation using PISA sampling structures

机译:多级建模中的采样权重:使用比萨采样结构的调查

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Background Standard methods for analysing data from large-scale assessments (LSA) cannot merely be adopted if hierarchical (or multilevel) regression modelling should be applied. Currently various approaches exist; they all follow generally a design-based model of estimation using the pseudo maximum likelihood method and adjusted weights for the corresponding hierarchies. Specifically, several different approaches to using and scaling sampling weights in hierarchical models are promoted, yet no study has compared them to provide evidence of which method performs best and therefore should be preferred. Furthermore, different software programs implement different estimation algorithms, leading to different results. Objective and method In this study, we determine based on a simulation, the estimation procedure showing the smallest distortion to the actual population features. We consider different estimation, optimization and acceleration methods, and different approaches on using sampling weights. Three scenarios have been simulated using the statistical program R. The analyses have been performed with two software packages for hierarchical modelling of LSA data, namely Mplus and SAS. Results and conclusions The simulation results revealed three weighting approaches performing best in retrieving the true population parameters. One of them implies using only level two weights (here: final school weights) and is because of its simple implementation the most favourable one. This finding should provide a clear recommendation to researchers for using weights in multilevel modelling (MLM) when analysing LSA data, or data with a similar structure. Further, we found only little differences in the performance and default settings of the software programs used, with the software package Mplus providing slightly more precise estimates. Different algorithm starting settings or different accelerating methods for optimization could cause these distinctions. However, it should be emphasized that with the recommended weighting approach, both software packages perform equally well. Finally, two scaling techniques for student weights have been investigated. They provide both nearly identical results. We use data from the Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA) 2015 to illustrate the practical importance and relevance of weighting in analysing large-scale assessment data with hierarchical models.
机译:背景技术如果应该应用分层(或多级)回归建模,则不能仅采用来自大规模评估(LSA)的数据的标准方法。目前存在各种方法;它们通常遵循基于设计的估计模型,使用伪最大似然方法和对应层次结构的调整权重。具体地,促进了在分层模型中使用和缩放采样权重的几种不同方法,但没有研究比较它们以提供最佳方法的证据,因此应该是优选的。此外,不同的软件程序实现不同的估计算法,导致不同的结果。目的和方法在本研究中,基于模拟确定,估算过程显示到实际群体特征的最小失真。我们考虑使用采样权重的不同估计,优化和加速方法,以及不同的方法。使用统计程序R模拟了三种方案。使用两个软件包进行了用于LSA数据的分层建模,即Mplus和SAS的分析。结果和结论模拟结果显示,三种加权方法在检索真正的人口参数时表现最佳。其中一个意味着只使用两个权重(这里:最终学校重量),并且是因为它的简单实现最有利的。此发现应在分析LSA数据或具有类似结构的数据时,对使用多级建模(MLM)中的权重的研究人员提供明确的建议。此外,我们发现所用软件程序的性能和默认设置的差异很小,软件包MPLUS提供稍微更精确的估计。不同算法开始设置或用于优化的不同加速方法可能导致这些区别。但是,应该强调的是,通过推荐的加权方法,两个软件包的表现同样良好。最后,已经调查了学生重量的两个缩放技术。它们提供了几乎相同的结果。我们使用来自国际学生评估(PISA)2015计划的数据来说明加权在分析具有分层模型的大规模评估数据时的实际重要性和相关性。

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