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Measuring the Structure of a Technology System for Directing Technological Transition

机译:测量技术系统技术系统的结构

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Technological advancements have generated a “techno‐sphere” within which all humans live. However, the capacity to direct technology development lags far behind technology development itself. This study deciphers the structural characteristics of a technology system using three pairs of features: systemicity and complexity (scalar), centrality and diversity (structural), and adaptability and inertia (structural); and at micro‐, meso‐, and macrolevels. By applying this approach in Chinese agricultural and water technology systems in the Yellow River Region and the Yangtze River Region from the beginning of agriculture in ≈8000 BC to the end of preindustrial agriculture in 1911, it is found that there exist trade‐off relationships between the centrality and diversity of a technology system, there exist alternative dominations of adaptivity and inertia in development of a technology system, and there exist time‐lag phenomena of change in a technology system between mesolevel and macrolevel. It is also identified that a larger‐scale, more diverse and adaptive technology system is observed in the Yellow River Region whereas the technology system in the Yangtze River Region is more rapidly expanding in scale and mainly dominated by inertia. These discoveries will assist increasing the capacity of managing and directing technological transition in future. It is discovered that there exist trade‐offs between the centrality and diversity of a technology system, and the development alternates between innovative and legacy technologies in time. Time‐lag phenomena and misalignments between the structure and the scale of the systems are identified, as illustrated by an analysis of the development of technology in two river basins in China.
机译:技术进步在所有人类生活中都产生了“技术领域”。然而,直接技术开发的能力远远落后于技术发展本身。本研究利用三对特征抵消了技术系统的结构特征:全身性和复杂性(标量),中心和多样性(结构),适应性和惯性(结构);并且在微型,中间,中间和宏观。通过将这种方法应用于黄河地区的中国农业和水技术系统,并从农业开始于1911年以≈8000公元前的农业开始于前工业农业的结束,发现存在有权衡关系技术系统的中心性和多样性,在技术系统的发展中存在适应性和惯性的替代主导地位,并且在Mesolevel和MacRolevel之间的技术系统中存在时间滞后现象。还发现,在黄河地区观察到更大,更多样化和自适应的技术系统,而长江地区的技术系统以规模迅速扩展,主要以惯性为主。这些发现将有助于提高将来管理和指导技术过渡的能力。发现技术系统的中心性和多样性之间存在权衡,并且开发在创新和遗留技术及时交替。鉴定了结构和系统的结构与系统的规模之间的时间滞后现象和错位,如中国两河流域技术的开发分析。

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