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Learning Traffic as Images: A Deep Convolutional Neural Network for Large-Scale Transportation Network Speed Prediction

机译:以图像形式学习交通:用于大规模交通网络速度预测的深度卷积神经网络

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This paper proposes a convolutional neural network (CNN)-based method that learns traffic as images and predicts large-scale, network-wide traffic speed with a high accuracy. Spatiotemporal traffic dynamics are converted to images describing the time and space relations of traffic flow via a two-dimensional time-space matrix. A CNN is applied to the image following two consecutive steps: abstract traffic feature extraction and network-wide traffic speed prediction. The effectiveness of the proposed method is evaluated by taking two real-world transportation networks, the second ring road and north-east transportation network in Beijing, as examples, and comparing the method with four prevailing algorithms, namely, ordinary least squares, k-nearest neighbors, artificial neural network, and random forest, and three deep learning architectures, namely, stacked autoencoder, recurrent neural network, and long-short-term memory network. The results show that the proposed method outperforms other algorithms by an average accuracy improvement of 42.91% within an acceptable execution time. The CNN can train the model in a reasonable time and, thus, is suitable for large-scale transportation networks.
机译:本文提出了一种基于卷积神经网络(CNN)的方法,该方法将流量作为图像进行学习,并以较高的精度预测大规模的全网络流量。时空交通动态通过二维时空矩阵转换为描述交通流时空关系的图像。通过两个连续步骤将CNN应用于图像:抽象流量特征提取和全网流量速度预测。通过以北京的二环路和东北交通网络这两个现实世界的交通网络为例,并与常用的最小二乘,k-最近邻居,人工神经网络和随机森林,以及三种深度学习架构,即堆叠式自动编码器,递归神经网络和长期短期记忆网络。结果表明,该方法在可接受的执行时间内,平均精度提高了42.91%,优于其他算法。 CNN可以在合理的时间内训练模型,因此适用于大规模的运输网络。

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