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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Environmental Protection >Comparing the Adequacy of Some Non-Homogeneous Poisson Models to Estimate Ozone Exceedances in Mexico City
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Comparing the Adequacy of Some Non-Homogeneous Poisson Models to Estimate Ozone Exceedances in Mexico City

机译:比较一些非均质泊松模型来估计墨西哥城的臭氧过量

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摘要

We consider some non-homogeneous Poisson models to estimate the mean number of times that a given environmental threshold of interest is surpassed by a given pollutant. Seven different rate functions for the Poisson processes describing the models are taken into account. The rate functions considered are the Weibull, exponentiated-Weibull, and their generalisation the Beta-Weibull rate function. We also use the Musa-Okumoto, the Goel-Okumoto, a generalised Goel- Okumoto and the Weibull-geometric rate functions. Whenever thought justifiable, the model allowing the presence of change-points is also going to be considered. The different models are applied to the daily maximum ozone measurements data provided by the monitoring network of the Metropolitan Area of Mexico City. The aim is to compare the adjustment of different rate functions to the data. Even though, some of the rate functions have been considered before, now we are applying them to the same data set. In previous works they were used in different data sets and therefore a comparison of the adequacy of those models were not possible. The measurements considered here were obtained after a series of environmental measures were implemented in Mexico City. Hence, the data present a different behaviour from that of earlier studies.
机译:我们考虑一些非均质的泊松模型来估计给定污染物超过给定环境阈值的平均次数。考虑了描述模型的Poisson过程的七个不同的速率函数。所考虑的速率函数是Weibull,指数-Weibull,其推广是Beta-Weibull速率函数。我们还使用了Musa-Okumoto,Goel-Okumoto,广义Goel-Okumoto和Weibull几何速率函数。只要认为合理,就将考虑允许存在变更点的模型。墨西哥城大都市区监测网络提供的每日最大臭氧测量数据采用了不同的模型。目的是比较不同速率函数对数据的调整。即使以前已经考虑过某些费率函数,但现在我们将它们应用于相同的数据集。在以前的工作中,它们被用于不同的数据集,因此无法对这些模型的适当性进行比较。此处考虑的测量值是在墨西哥城实施一系列环境措施后获得的。因此,数据呈现出与早期研究不同的行为。

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