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Human Capital Development and Economic Growth in Nigeria

机译:尼日利亚的人力资本发展与经济增长

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This paper examines the impact of human capital development on economic growth in Nigeria. Theoretical growth models and macroeconomic evidence suggest that human capital accumulation is an important determinant of per capita income growth. However, Hideki et al. (2005) note that outliers, measurement errors, and incorrect specifications may have affected early macroeconomic studies that found a weak relationship between growth and human capital accumulation. While recent studies addressing these problems are beginning to show larger positive effects, the potential endogeneity of human capital accumulation has received relatively little attention. We therefore investigate the relationship between human capital and economic growth in Nigeria with time series data which covers periods 1981-2010. Adopting the endogenous modeling approach cast within the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) framework, the bounds testing analysis indicated existence of co integration between economic growth and human capital development indicators. Findings also show that human capital development indicators had positive impact on economic growth in Nigeria within the reviewed periods; however, their impacts were largely statistically insignificant. Further evidence indicated that equilibrium is fully restored for any distortion in the short-run. On this basis of the emanating findings, this study proffered the need for government to invest more in human capital development process and endeavours prioritize the health and education sectors budgeting considering their growth driving potentials in Nigeria. Similarly, government should endeavour to pay attention to the issue of school enrolment. Keywords: Bounds Test, Economic Growth, Endogeneity, Human Capital Development, Nigeria
机译:本文研究了人力资本发展对尼日利亚经济增长的影响。理论增长模型和宏观经济证据表明,人力资本积累是人均收入增长的重要决定因素。然而,秀树等。 (2005)指出,离群值,测量误差和不正确的规范可能影响了早期的宏观经济研究,该研究发现增长与人力资本积累之间的关系很弱。尽管针对这些问题的最新研究开始显示出更大的积极影响,但人力资本积累的潜在内生性却鲜为人知。因此,我们使用涵盖1981-2010年的时间序列数据来调查尼日利亚的人力资本与经济增长之间的关系。边界检验采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)框架内生的建模方法,表明经济增长与人力资本发展指标之间存在协整关系。调查结果还表明,在所审查的时期内,人力资本发展指标对尼日利亚的经济增长产生了积极影响;但是,它们的影响在统计学上微不足道。进一步的证据表明,短期内任何扭曲都会完全恢复平衡。基于这些新发现,本研究提出了政府需要在人力资本开发过程中进行更多投资的考虑,并考虑到尼日利亚的增长驱动潜力,努力将卫生和教育部门的预算列为优先事项。同样,政府应努力关注入学问题。关键字:界限检验,经济增长,内生性,人力资本发展,尼日利亚

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