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Helium Production and Possible Projection

机译:氦气产生和可能的投影

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The future availability of helium has been raised as an issue in the literature. However, a disaggregated projection of helium production has not been attempted, presumably due to the difficult nature of accessing disaggregated historic production data to test the accuracy of this issue. This paper presents collated and estimated historic helium production statistics from 1921 to 2012 for each helium producing country in the world and by U.S. state. A high and regular growth projection of helium has been created. It is found that helium resources are sufficient for the near future, with the projected production plateauing in 2060–2075 and 2090–2100 for the high and regular growth scenarios, respectively. As long as natural gas deposits with helium are appropriately managed, there is little likelihood for helium shortages to occur in the short term due to geologic constraints.
机译:氦的未来可用性已成为文献中的一个问题。但是,未尝试对氦气产量进行分类预测,这可能是由于难以访问分类历史生产数据来测试此问题的准确性所致。本文提供了按汇总的和估计的1921年至2012年的历史性氦气生产统计数据,统计了世界上每个氦气生产国和美国的状态。已经建立了氦气的高且规则的生长预测。研究发现氦气资源在不久的将来就足够了,预计在2060-2075年和2090-2100年的高产量和常规增长情景下,产量将达到平稳水平。只要对含氦天然气的沉积物进行适当管理,由于地质条件的限制,短期内氦气短缺的可能性就很小。

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