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Statistical Portfolio Estimation under the Utility Function Depending on Exogenous Variables

机译:效用函数下基于外生变量的统计投资组合估计

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摘要

In the estimation of portfolios, it is natural to assume that the utility function depends on exogenous variable. From this point of view, in this paper, we develop the estimation under the utility function depending on exogenous variable. To estimate the optimal portfolio, we introduce a function of moments of the return process and cumulant between the return processes and exogenous variable, where the function means a generalized version of portfolio weight function. First, assuming that exogenous variable is a random process, we derive the asymptotic distribution of the sample version of portfolio weight function. Then, an influence of exogenous variable on the return process is illuminated when exogenous variable has a shot noise in the frequency domain. Second, assuming that exogenous variable is nonstochastic, we derive the asymptotic distribution of the sample version of portfolio weight function. Then, an influence of exogenous variable on the return process is illuminated when exogenous variable has a harmonic trend. We also evaluate the influence of exogenous variable on the return process numerically.
机译:在估计投资组合时,很自然地假设效用函数取决于外生变量。从这个角度出发,在本文中,我们根据外生变量在效用函数下进行估计。为了估算最佳投资组合,我们引入了一个收益过程的矩和收益过程与外生变量之间的累积量的函数,其中该函数表示投资组合权重函数的广义形式。首先,假设外生变量是一个随机过程,我们得出投资组合权重函数样本版本的渐近分布。然后,当外生变量在频域中具有散粒噪声时,就说明了外生变量对返回过程的影响。其次,假设外生变量是非随机变量,我们推导了投资组合权重函数的样本版本的渐近分布。然后,当外生变量具有谐波趋势时,就说明了外生变量对返回过程的影响。我们还通过数值评估外生变量对回报过程的影响。

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