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Euro area monetary policy transmission in Estonia

机译:欧元区货币政策在爱沙尼亚的传导

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This paper studies the effect of a monetary policy shock in the euro area on the main Estonian economic and financial variables between 2000 and 2012. Using a standard structural vector autoregression (SVAR) model we find strong and persistent effects on Estonian GDP, private consumption, corporate investment, and imports. A monetary policy shock also has strong and sluggish effects on the housing loan and consumer credit interest rates. The estimated reaction of Estonian GDP and the GDP deflator-based inflation rate is about four times stronger than the reaction of euro area-wide aggregates. The strength of the impact depends on the inclusion of the data from the years of the recent financial and economic crisis.
机译:本文研究了2000年至2012年期间欧元区货币政策冲击对爱沙尼亚主要经济和金融变量的影响。使用标准结构矢量自回归(SVAR)模型,我们发现对爱沙尼亚GDP,私人消费,企业投资和进口。货币政策冲击也对住房贷款和消费者信贷利率产生了强烈而缓慢的影响。爱沙尼亚国内生产总值和基于国内生产总值平减指数的通货膨胀率的估计反应大约是欧元区总体反应的四倍。影响的强度取决于最近金融和经济危机年份的数据是否包括在内。

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