石油资源型城市可持续发展能力评价方法与实证研究

摘要

It is a strategic emphasis to achieve the sustainable development of petroleum cities in China. Based on the analyzed meaning of the sustainable development capacity (CSD) of the petroleum cities, the article sets up the evaluation model of the CSD. Then taking the Daqing city as an example, the article evaluated the CSD since 2003 to 2008. The result indicated that the CSD of Daqing city is kept ascending trend; and the economy, social, environment,and technological support capacity had been promoted, But the petroleum resources support capacity declined. At last, the article put forward some countermeasure to achieve the sustainable development of Daqing city.%　　石油城市可持续发展是我国可持续发展的战略重点，在阐述石油城市可持续发展能力涵义的基础上，从资源指数、环境指数、经济指数、社会指数和科技指数五个方面构建了可持续发展能力(CSD)评价模型。本文选取我国最大的石油资源型城市—大庆市作为典型案例，对其可持续发展能力进行了实证研究。分析结果表明：大庆市城市可持续发展能力保持了一个平稳上升的态势，在经济发展能力、社会发展能力、环境承载能力、科技推动能力有明显提升，但资源支撑能力逐年下降。最后，提出了建议与对策。