基于模糊综合评价法的房地产投资风险评价

摘要

This paper establishes multiple project investment risk evaluation system from four aspects of economic risk,social risk,management risk,and environmental risk,calculates indicators＇ weight with hierarchy analysis method,carries on real estate project investment risk evaluation by using fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method,establish mathematical model of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method,and puts forward quantitative approaches based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method,and then points out that the model can comprehensively evaluate the development project risk degree,which has rather high practical value for predicting developing project risk degree.%从经济风险、社会风险、管理风险、环境风险四个方面建立了项目投资风险多层次评价指标体系。用层次分析法计算了各级指标的权重,运用了模糊综合评价方法对房地产项目投资进行风险评价,建立了模糊综合评价数学模型,提出一种基于模糊综合评价模型的定量化研究方法,并指出本模型能够综合评价开发项目的风险程度,对于预测开发项目风险程度具有较高的实用价值。