三峡库区典型滑坡的稳定分析及预测研究

摘要

Taking a typical landslide in Three Gorges reservoir area as an example,this paper introduced the basic characteristics of landslide, combining with Morgenstern-Prince method made stability calculation to landslide,respectively calculated 5 years forecast data of 17 kinds of forecasting model of each monitoring point horizontal displacement,analyzed the prediction data change trend and landslide deformation trend.%以三峡库区某典型滑坡为例，介绍了滑坡基本特征，结合 Morgenstern-Prince 法对滑坡进行了稳定性计算，分别计算出各个监测点水平位移17种预测模型的5年预测数据，分析了预测数据变化趋势和滑坡变形趋势。