新兴技术选择方法研究

摘要

The relative definitions about selection methods of emerging technology are introduced in this article. In addition, there is a clear understanding about the development evolution and tendency of selection methods of emerging technology through the introduction of Delphi Method, Analytic Hierarchy Process, patent analysis, technology roadmap and several synthetic methods. This article intends to provide some references for further researches on selection methods of e-merging technology.%介绍了新兴技术选择方法的相关定义,通过对新兴技术选择常用理论方法——德尔菲法、层次分析法、专利分析法、技术路线图和几种综合方法进行概括性的介绍,使对新兴技术选择方法的发展过程和发展趋势有较清晰的认识,为今后新兴技术选择方法的进一步研究提供参考借鉴.