技术效率、技术进步与中国造纸产业全要素生产率的提高--基于DEA-Malmquist指数法的实证分析

摘要

According to the data of China's paper industry and main province of paper production:Shandong,Guangdong, Zhejiang,Jiangsu and Henan,from the year 2000 to 201 1 ,this paper calculates and decomposes the total factor productiv-ity of China's paper industry. The results show that the TFP of China's paper industry shows an upward trend overall with a significant fluctuation. Technical progress is the main reason to promote the increase of TFP,while technical efficiency con-tributes only a little. Due to the deterioration of technical efficiency and scale efficiency,the TFP differs greatly from differ-ent provinces,with Jiangsu and Shandong increasing rapidly and Henan,Zhejiang and Guangdong increasing slowly. Thus, we should make good use of technology and improve the scale efficiency of China's paper industry.%根据2000-2011年中国造纸产业数据和山东、广东、浙江、江苏、河南的省际数据，运用基于数据包络分析的Malmquist指数法对我国造纸产业的全要素生产率进行测算和分解。实证结果表明：（1）中国造纸产业全要素生产率整体上处于上升趋势，表现出明显的波动性；（2）技术进步是全要素生产率提高的主要原因，技术效率改善的贡献很小；（3）全要素生产率的变化具有区域差异性，江苏、山东增长较快，河南、浙江、广东增长较慢，其主要原因是技术效率和规模效率的退步，因此产业技术利用水平和规模效益有待提高。