运用DEA-Tobit模型对广东省21个地市体育公共产品供给效率进行评价，该模型从两个层面分析广东省城乡体育公共产品供给效率。首先，用数据包络分析(DEA)模型了解各市体育公共产品供给效率基本情况，再通过德尔菲法筛选出体育公共产品供给效率的因素，然后用 Tobit模型对其进行评估，找出导致广东省城乡体育公共产品供给效率现状的因素。应用数据包络分析结果显示，广东省体育公共产品供给效率并不随城镇化水平的提高而提高，城镇化水平高的地区供给效率反而偏低，以广州、深圳表现最为明显；城镇化水平越低的地区，并不意味着体育公共产品供给效率越低，但总体上处于偏低水平；体育公共产品供给效率较高的地区，都是城镇化水平处于30%~60%的中等城镇化水平地区或以城市为主或以乡村为主。决定广东各地区体育公共产品供给差异的主要和直接原因，来自于其投入和产出的是否合理。投入过多和产出过低，以及投入结构和产出结构的不合理，使得广东各地体育公共产品供给呈现出效率的层次不齐。Tobit模型分析显示对体育公共产品供给效率影响最大的是政府供给能力；其次是体育公共产品的供给规范性、体育公共产品需求强度，然后是政府体育公共产品的供给意愿、体育公共产品投入资金的充裕程度，最弱的是“人均GDP”。表明社会发展水平、经济发展水平，只对体育公共产品供给效率具有轻微的影响。%The authors evaluated the efficiencies of sports public product supply in 21 cities and regions in Guangdong province by applying a DEA-Tobit model, which was used to analyze the efficiencies of sports public product supply in cities and towns in Guangdong province in two aspects. the authors firstly used a data envelopment analysis (DEA) model to gain an insight into the basic information about the efficiencies of sports public product supply in various cities, next, screened out factors that affected the efficiencies of sports public product supply by applying the Delphi method, and then evaluated them by using a DEA-Tobit model, and found out facts that had resulted in the current situation of the efficien-cies of sports public product supply in cities and towns in Guangdong province. Results from applying data envelopment analysis revealed the followings: the efficiencies of sports public product supply in Guangdong province did not increase with the increase of urbanization level, on the contrary, the efficiencies of such supply in regions with a high urbanization level were on the low side, especially in Guangzhou and Shenzhen; the lower the urbanization level a region has does not mean the lower its efficiency of sports public product supply, but its efficiency of sports public product supply is overall at a level on the low side; all the regions with a higher efficiency of sports public product supply are regions with a medium level of urbanization somewhere between 30% and 60%, or regions which mainly consist of cities or countries; the main and direct reason for the differences in the efficiencies of sports public product supply in various regions in Guangdong came from the irrationality of their inputs and outputs; too many inputs and too low outputs, as well as the irrationality of input and output structures, had caused the different efficiencies of sports public product supply. Tobit model analysis re-vealed that the factor that affects the efficiency of sports public product supply most is the government’s supply ability, followed by sports public product supply standardization and sports public product need intensity, then by the govern-ment’s will for supplying sports public products and the degree of abundance of funds inputted for sports public products, and tailed by GDP per capita, and indicated that social development level and economic development level have only slight influence on the efficiency of sports public product supply.
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