我国粮食宏观调控的效率及影响因素

摘要

In order to ensure food security, the state has invested a lot of manpower and material resources for a long time. At the same time, food self-sufficiency rate has been decreasing year by year. There is no dispute on the high cost of macroeconomic regulation and control and the low efficiency. Based on statistics from 1985 to 2013, this paper builds an evaluation index system China’s grain macro-control policies efficiency. Then the efficiency of grain’s macro-control policies from 1985 to 2010 years is calculated with DEA method. Therefore, we propose that the mar⁃ket-oriented regulatory system should be established to reduce the behavior of policy intervention in the market, so as to enhance efficiency and reduce costs.%长期以来，为了保障国家粮食安全，国家投入大量的人力物力。与此同时，粮食自给率却逐年下降。粮食宏观调控成本过高、效率逐年降低已成为不争的事实。文章基于1985年到2013年的统计数据，构建了我国粮食宏观调控政策效率评价指标体系，运用DEA方法进行了效率测算，并对其影响因素进行了分析。因此，文章提出的对策措施主要包括逐步减少政府对粮食市场的直接干预，调整宏观调控的手段，调整粮食需求结构和加快城镇化的发展等。