运用1980—2013年我国30个省级地区的经济波动和增长的面板数据，重点分析资本形成、财政政策以及货币政策的变动对于经济增长稳定性的影响。建立面板向量自回归模型，通过脉冲响应函数和方差分解具体分析每个变量波动对经济增长的影响。最终结果显示，资本形成和经济政策波动对于经济增长具有重要的影响，短期是正向的，长期来说是反向的影响并且会随时间推移而减弱。%By using the panel data of economic fluctuation and growth of 30 provinces from 1980-2013, specifically, the author examines how the capital formation, finance policy and money supply affecting economic growth fluctuations in China. The analysis used the panel-date approach of Vector Autoregressive modeling (PVAR) and the Impulse Response Functions (IRFs) and the Variance Decomposition. Empirically, according to the results, capital formation and economic policy fluctuation have important influences on economic growth. The influence is positive in the short term, but in the long term, it is negative and will be weakened.
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