在分析水资源承载状态内涵的基础上, 选取协调发展度作为表征指标, 构建盐城市水资源承载状态量化体系, 运用熵权法确定权重, 并按照协调发展度计算方法分别对2015年、2020年、2025年、2030年盐城市水资源承载状态进行量化.结果表明:盐城市2015年水资源承载状态为中等水平, 但随着未来"最严格水资源管理制度"等一系列措施的实施, 2020年、2025年、2030年盐城市水资源承载状态持续提升, 并在2030年达到较好的水平.%Based on the analysis of the connotation of carrying status of water resources, the quantitative system of carrying status of water resources in Yancheng City is established by selecting the coordinated development degree as the characteristic index. The entropy weight method is used to determine the weight, and the carrying status of water resources in Yancheng City is calculated in 2015, 2020, 2025 and 2030, respectively according to the method of coordinated development degree. The results show that the carrying status of water resources in Yancheng City in 2015 is in the state of medium level. However, with the implementation of a series of measures such as "the most stringent water resources management system " in the coming years, the carrying status of water resources in Yancheng City in 2020, 2025, 2030 continues to increase, and it will reach a better level in 2030.
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