非对称信息下水权交易的讨价还价博弈模型研究

摘要

目前水权交易中存在水权交易价格不合理问题.研究在水权初始价格的基础上,将谈判者不同心理压力、谈判者不同的价格区间信息等因素引入讨价还价动态博弈模型中,分析水权交易价格,以及信息完全与信息不对称条件下水权交易者心理因素对水权交易价格的影响.结果表明,市场中的情境因素对水权交易主体双方有重要影响,并在不同市场条件下水价交易价格是有差异的.%In the current water right trade, the price of water right is not reasonable. Based on the initial price of water right, some factors such as negotiators' different psychological stresses and price information are introduced into the dynamic bargaining game model to analyze the trading price of water right. The influences of the traders' psychological factor on the price of water right under full information and asymmetric information are compared and analyzed. The results show that the situational factors in the market have significant influences on the subjects of water right trade, and the price under different market conditions is different. It may play an important role in improving the price of water right trade.