基于灰色模型的某型末制导弹药贮存寿命预测

摘要

某型末制导弹药具有导弹与常规弹药的双重特性,贮存寿命预测更加复杂.应用薄弱环节法和灰色理论,建立了末制导弹药贮存寿命预测的GM(1,1)模型,并进行了实例计算.结果表明,该模型简单、实用,预测结果准确,对于部队提高末制导弹药的维护能力具有一定意义.%Terminal Guided Projectile (TGP) has two characteristics of missile and general ammunition. It is difficulty to predict the storage life of TGP. The storage life prediction GM(1, 1) model of TGP was established using weakness method and gray theory. Real cases were computed with the model. The results showed the model is simple, practical and exact. It has important meaning in improving maintenance of TGP.