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光伏发电技术经济分析及发展预测

         

摘要

The development status and trends of photovoltaic power technology are analyzed. Based on the analysis of impact factors of cost of energy (COE) for photovoltaic power system and combined with foreign lypical photovoltaic power systems, COE is measured and Calculated, and the defefopment prospect and route before 2050 are presented, It is expected that the photovoltaic power industry will achieve large-scale development before 2020, and photovoltaic power technology will gradually become the renewable energy power generation technology with market competitiveness after 2020.%分析了光伏发电技术的发展现状和趋势,基于光伏发电系统单位电量发电成本(度电成本)影响因素的分析,结合国外典型光伏发电系统,对中国光伏发电度电成本进行了测算,并对光伏发电发展前景进行了研判,得出2050年前光伏发电发展路线.2020年前光伏产业将实现规模化发展,2020年后光伏发电将逐步成为具备市场竞争力的可再生能源发电技术.

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