建筑业经济增长与环境污染的动态关系研究

摘要

From the two-way perspective relationship between the economic growth and environmental pollution of construction industry,takes the data of Beijing in 1994-2014 as the sample,uses ADF test and granger causality analysis to test the long-term evolution relationship between dust and sulfur dioxide emissions of construction and economic growth,and establishes a VAR model,makes an empirical research with generalized impulse response analysis and variance decomposition analysis. The results show that the mutual promotion betweeneconomic growth and sulfur dioxide emissions of construction are more significant,while the increase of dust emissions inhibits the economic growth.%从建筑业经济增长与环境污染双向影响关系视角，以北京1994～2014年数据为样本，运用ADF检验和格兰杰因果分析方法，对二氧化硫、烟粉尘等污染物排放量和建筑业经济增长的长期演变关系进行检验，并构建VAR模型，通过脉冲响应分析和方差分解进行实证研究。结果表明，建筑业经济增长与二氧化硫排放之间的相互促进作用显著，而烟粉尘排放量的增加则抑制建筑业的经济增长。