基于灰系统的尾矿坝浸润线预警系统

摘要

To monitor the height of tailings dam and forecast its trend, a designed method based on gray system theory to create the model of tailing dam saturation line is presented. Firstly, measuring tailings dam saturation line by osmometer. Secondly, predicting the trend of saturation line by the theory of grey system. Finally, sending warning message by GSM modem when predicting value exceed the warning value. It is proved that this new method that creates GM (1,1) model on the basis of saturation line history datas is very convenient and safe to predict trend of tailings dam saturation line.%为了实现对尾矿坝浸润线高度进行实时在线监测及趋势预测,提出了用了灰色系统理论来对尾矿坝的浸润线数据建立灰色模型的方法.利用渗压计来实时测量尾矿坝浸润线的高度数据,用了灰色系统理论来对尾矿坝的浸润线数据建立GM(1,1)灰色系统模型,并用此模型来对浸润线的发展趋势进行预测,最后当预测数值达到警戒值时用短信猫进行短信报警.通过对尾矿坝浸润线历史数据建立的GM(1,1)模型,证明了利用灰色系统原理来对尾矿坝浸润线高度进行建模与预测是一种简便、可靠的方法.