基于突变级数法的舰船作战能力综合评价

摘要

为适应现代海军信息化条件下的作战要求，满足遂行多样化军事作战任务的目标，以编队协同作战为背景，在分析突变理论基本思想和算法步骤的基础上，提出一种基于突变级数法的舰船作战能力综合评价方法。根据突变级数理论，对影响舰船协同作战能力的因素进行多层次分解，建立舰船协同作战能力综合指标体系，确定各层次指标突变类型。在对数据进行无量纲化处理之后，结合突变层次结构模型进行综合量化运算，得到最后的评价结果。该方法已应用于某系列舰船作战效能的评估之中，计算结果真实准确，为舰船协同作战能力的评价提供了一种新的思路和方法。%In order to meet the operational requirements of modern informational naval combat and the ob⁃jectives of carrying out diversified military missions, the evaluation method of naval vessel's cooperative en⁃gagement capability based on the catastrophe progression method is proposed. The method is based on the requirements of cooperative engagement in warship formations and basic principles and arithmetic process⁃es of catastrophe theories. According to catastrophe theories, an integrated indicator system is established, with factors affecting cooperative engagement capability as well as their catastrophe types being analyzed. The evaluation results are obtained after non-dimension alization of preliminary data and comprehensive quantitative calculation. Finally, the method is applied to the evaluation of several ships' combat effective⁃ness, and the results are proved to be true and accurate, which provides a new perspective for the evalua⁃tion of naval vessel's cooperative engagement capability.