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Visualising the Effects of Non-linearity by Creating Dynamic Causal Diagrams

机译:通过创建动态因果图可视化非线性效应

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摘要

Even though non-linearity is said to drive the behaviour of system dynamics models, modellers do not have access to techniques that show this happening. The tools at their disposal to present model structure are powerful, but, by nature, static. Formal model analysis methods has made significant progress in explaining how structure drives behaviour, but the connection to standard model conceptualisation techniques have generally not yet been made. This paper presents work that links the results of recent formal model analysis techniques to traditional conceptual diagramming techniques. A prototype visualisation tool is used to create dynamic causal diagrams that display the changing influences of the elements of model structure over a simulation run; it shows the waxing and waning of the influence of different sets of loops.
机译:即使据说非线性因素会驱动系统动力学模型的行为,建模人员也无法获得显示这种情况的技术。用于呈现模型结构的工具虽然功能强大,但从本质上讲是静态的。正式的模型分析方法在解释结构如何驱动行为方面已经取得了重大进展,但是与标准模型概念化技术的联系通常尚未建立。本文介绍了将最新形式模型分析技术的结果与传统概念图技术联系起来的工作。原型可视化工具用于创建动态因果图,以显示模型结构的元素在模拟运行过程中的变化影响。它显示了不同套环的影响的上升和下降。

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