Modeling anti-air warfare with discrete event simulation and analyzing naval convoy operations

摘要

Using anti-air warfare tactics and concepts of operations, we explore the dominant factors for convoy operations. A discrete event simulation that facilitates modern analysis was built to model ships, their sensors, and their weapons. The model was used to simulate over 1.5 million naval battles in which we varied 99 input variables using a nearly orthogonal nearly balanced (NOB) Latin hypercube design of experiments. Metamodels were then constructed to study what impact the factors have on the survival of a High Value Unit and give guidance for which factors offer the most improvement. In addition to our specific findings, this study can be used as a guide for how to conduct future analyses.