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A research on assessing method of frost damage in winter wheat in Huanghuai Area

机译:黄淮地区冬小麦霜冻危害评估方法研究

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Based on the relationship between yield of winter wheat at different growth stages and meteorological factors, the actual yield can be segregated step by step. Based on the yield data of reviving period to heading date without meteorological disasters, the ideal yield were calculated with Lagrange's Interpolation Polynomial and the yield loss rate affected by meteorological disasters have been assessed. By analyzing the degree of different meteorological disasters and their effect on yield from turning green period to heading date, the model of evaluation on late frost loss was defined. Take Shangqiu station as representative in Huanghuai Area, the yield loss caused by frost from 1980 to 2006 were simulated and analyzed. The results shows that the average rate of yield loss was 11.7% and the heavy disaster years of yield loss can be above 30%.
机译:根据不同生育时期冬小麦产量与气象因子之间的关系,可以逐步分离出实际产量。根据没有气象灾害的恢复期至抽穗期的产量数据,使用拉格朗日插值多项式计算理想产量,并评估了受气象灾害影响的产量损失率。通过分析不同气象灾害的程度及其对从变绿期到抽穗期的产量的影响,建立了晚霜冻损失评价模型。以黄淮地区商丘站为代表,对1980-2006年霜冻造成的产量损失进行了模拟分析。结果表明,平均单产损失率为11.7%,重灾年的单产损失可以达到30%以上。

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