Study on integrated simulation model of economic, energy and environment safety system under the low-carbon policy in Beijing

摘要

In the near future, energy conservation and pollution reduction became two of the most significant factors in economic development and social circulate. For analyzing the issue, several models were applied involving the fields of mathematical optimization, economics theory, dynamics model and industrial management. Specifically, they are MARKAL model, Input- Output model, LEAP model and Systemic Dynamics model. In the paper, a collaborative distributed database and an integrated simulation were developed for the Economics-Energy-Environment (3E) system, especially four models were firstly synthesize in a unique way which achieve securities economically, environmentally, as well as in a sense of energy source. The integrated matrix inherits the advantages of all methodologies mentioned above. At last, a flawless integration of the 3E-Safety system was presented and applied in a practical manner in the case of low-carbon development.