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Increasing actionability of in-house corporate prediction markets

机译:增加内部公司预测市场的可行性

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Prediction markets have been used to generate various types of forecasts and predictions for nearly two decades. In-house corporate prediction markets are used for collecting and aggregating information dispersed throughout a company. Most of the existing academic research in the area of in-house prediction markets deals with the issue of accuracy. This paper focuses on a different topic: the actionability of in-house corporate prediction markets. The actionability of an in-house corporate prediction market refers to the usefulness of the prediction market in the decision-making process in the company. This paper identifies two improvement factors that have the potential of increasing the actionability of in-house corporate prediction market: allowing for finer grain questions and providing signals for informational needs over a period of time.
机译:预测市场已被用于产生近二十年的各种类型的预测和预测。内部公司预测市场用于收集和汇总分散在公司的信息。内部预测市场地区现有的大多数学术研究涉及准确性问题。本文侧重于不同的主题:内部公司预测市场的可行性。内部公司预测市场的可行性是指公司决策过程中预测市场的有用性。本文确定了两个改进因素,具有增加内部公司预测市场的可行性的可能性:允许在一段时间内提供更精细的晶粒问题并为信息需求提供信号。

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