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Research on the Application of GA Improved Neural Network in the Prediction of Financial Crisis

机译:GA改进神经网络在金融危机预测中的应用研究

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Aiming at the prediction of the financial distress of the company and taking the Chinese manufacturing listed companies as the research object, the abnormal financial situation is specially treated as the sign of the listed companies in financial distress. Genetic algorithm is used as the pre-device of the neural network model to optimize the initial value and threshold value of the network input, shorten the training time of the network, and improve the prediction efficiency of the network. The sample data are from real financial statements of listed companies, and 67 companies with normal and abnormal financial conditions are selected for empirical research. The original financial crisis early warning model and the financial crisis early warning model based on genetic algorithm are constructed. Empirical research shows that the prediction accuracy of the optimization model is higher than that of the traditional BP neural network model, which can improve the financial crisis early warning ability and analysis efficiency of listed companies from the perspective of technology.
机译:针对公司财务困境的预测,以中国制造业上市公司为研究对象,异常财务状况被专门视为上市公司财务困境的标志。遗传算法作为神经网络模型的前置装置,可以优化网络输入的初始值和阈值,缩短网络的训练时间,提高网络的预测效率。样本数据来自上市公司的真实财务报表,并选择了67家财务状况正常和异常的公司进行实证研究。建立了原始的金融危机预警模型和基于遗传算法的金融危机预警模型。实证研究表明,优化模型的预测精度高于传统的BP神经网络模型,可以从技术角度提高上市公司的金融危机预警能力和分析效率。

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