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Enhanced Recursive Probabilistic Integration Method for Probabilistic Fatigue Life Management Using Structural Health Monitoring

机译:基于结构健康监测的概率疲劳寿命管理的增强递归概率积分方法

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An enhanced recursive probabilistic integration (ERPI) algorithm was developed based on the recursive probabilistic integration (RPI) method for damage tolerance analysis of fatigue life using structural health monitoring (SHM). RPI is an efficient probabilistic method which is an event-tree based probabilistic framework using a baseline crack growth histories repeatedly for various maintenance plans under various uncertainties such as variability in material properties, initial flaw size, random processes of the fight loading, inspection reliability and inspection correlation for SHM monitoring systems. ERPI inherits the probabilistic framework and computational efficiency of RPI method. However, it uses a forward recursive numerical scheme to further improve RPl's computational efficiency and also greatly enhance RPl's capability regarding variable inspection intervals such that nonrepaired and repaired components can have different inspection schedules. In this study, Monte Carlo simulations (MCS) were conducted to verify and demonstrate the ERPI algorithm for flight life plans with variable inspection intervals under various flight conditions subject to various uncertainties. The study also demonstrated the efficiency of ERPI that the ratio of the CPU time using MCS to that of ERPI is 700:1.
机译:基于递归概率积分(RPI)方法,开发了一种增强的递归概率积分(ERPI)算法,用于使用结构健康监测(SHM)进行疲劳寿命的损伤容限分析。 RPI是一种有效的概率方法,它是基于事件树的概率框架,在各种不确定性(例如材料特性,初始缺陷大小,战斗载荷的随机过程,检查可靠性和可靠性)下,针对各种维护计划重复使用基线裂纹扩展历史记录。 SHM监视系统的检查关联。 ERPI继承了RPI方法的概率框架和计算效率。然而,它使用前向递归数值方案来进一步提高RP1的计算效率,并且还极大地增强了RP1关于可变检查间隔的能力,从而使未修理和维修的组件可以具有不同的检查计划。在这项研究中,进行了蒙特卡洛模拟(MCS),以验证和证明ERPI算法用于在各种飞行条件下受各种不确定性影响的可变检查间隔的飞行寿命计划。该研究还证明了ERPI的效率,即使用MCS的CPU时间与ERPI的CPU时间之比为700:1。

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