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A toolkit for testing sustainable use of underground space in future scenarios

机译:用于测试未来场景中地下空间可持续利用的工具包

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摘要

A description of the future as it might be without forecasts, predictions and trend analysis can be referred to as a 'future scenario'. An abundance of scenarios literature exists in which numerous pictures have been painted of changed future worlds. However, upon closer inspection it becomes apparent that virtually all of this literature refers to changes occurring above ground, ignoring the inevitable consequences (or opportunities) for sustainable use of underground space, not least in densely populated urban areas, some of which may be underlain by complex geological conditions. This paper reports on the development (to date) of an 'Urban Futures' (UF) toolkit for sub-surface environments (including infrastructure and utilities) which, through use of 'key' questions 'sustainable' indicators and a 'contextual' narrative, allows for better definition and measured performance of underground space in the UK, both today and in the future. The toolkit is used to explore possible uses of underground space within 4 plausible and well-cited future scenarios (i.e. New Sustainability Paradigm, Fortress World, Market Forces and Policy Reform). This forms part of a much larger generic toolkit which the UF research team are developing for exploring possible future scenarios over a range of UK urban regeneration case study areas.
机译:对未来的描述可能没有预测,预测和趋势分析,因此可以称为“未来情景”。存在大量的场景文学,其中绘制了许多有关变化的未来世界的图片。但是,经过仔细检查,很明显,几乎所有的文献都提到了地面上发生的变化,而忽略了可持续利用地下空间的不可避免的后果(或机会),尤其是在人口稠密的城市地区,其中一些可能是底层的受复杂的地质条件影响。本文报告了(迄今为止)用于地下环境(包括基础设施和公用事业)的“城市期货”(UF)工具包的开发情况,该工具包通过使用“关键”问题,“可持续”指标和“上下文”叙述,无论是现在还是将来,都可以更好地定义和衡量英国地下空间的性能。该工具包用于探索在4个合理且被充分引用的未来场景(即新的可持续发展范式,要塞世界,市场力量和政策改革)中地下空间的可能用途。这构成了一个更大的通用工具箱的一部分,用友研究团队正在开发该工具箱,以探索英国一系列城市更新案例研究区域中可能的未来方案。

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